LIVE 2026 LOCAL ELECTIONS

South Africa,
what happens next?

Turn your opinions into measurable forecasts. Use points, track your private record and prove how accurately you see what happens next.

Free to join · Points have no cash value · Built for collective intelligence
COMMUNITY FORECAST1,842 forecasters
58%

Turnout higher than 2021

YES 58%NO 42%
+4%this week
25,408forecasts made
LIVE MARKETS

Forecast the election

Choose a question. Review the evidence. Make your call.

National↑ 4%

Will voter turnout be higher than in the 2021 local elections?

58%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,842◷ 4 Nov, 07:00
eThekwini↓ 3%

Will any party win an outright majority in eThekwini?

31%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,268◷ 4 Nov, 07:00
Johannesburg↑ 6%

Will Johannesburg require a coalition government?

76%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,105◷ 4 Nov, 07:00
Cape Town↑ 2%

Will voter turnout in Cape Town exceed 55%?

64%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 864◷ 4 Nov, 07:00
Tshwane↓ 1%

Will the largest party receive more than 40% in Tshwane?

47%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 746◷ 4 Nov, 07:00
Nelson Mandela Bay↑ 5%

Will the first mayor elected after the vote come from the largest party?

54%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 589◷ First council sitting
Johannesburg↑ 7%

Will Helen Zille be elected Johannesburg mayor at the first council sitting?

43%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,634◷ First council sitting
Johannesburg↑ 9%

Will Frank Chikane be elected Johannesburg mayor at the first council sitting?

35%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,211◷ First council sitting
Johannesburg↑ 2%

Will Tlaleng Mofokeng be elected Johannesburg mayor at the first council sitting?

14%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 893◷ First council sitting
Johannesburg↑ 3%

Will the DA receive the largest share of votes in Johannesburg?

52%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,488◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
Johannesburg↓ 2%

Will any party win an outright council majority in Johannesburg?

18%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,016◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
eThekwini↓ 5%

Will the ANC receive the largest share of votes in eThekwini?

39%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,562◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
eThekwini↑ 6%

Will the MK Party receive the largest share of votes in eThekwini?

41%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,519◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
eThekwini↑ 4%

Will Haniff Hoosen be elected eThekwini mayor at the first council sitting?

23%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 684◷ First council sitting
eThekwini↑ 3%

Will the eThekwini mayor come from a party other than the party with the most votes?

46%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 802◷ First council sitting
Tshwane↑ 5%

Will Cilliers Brink be elected Tshwane mayor at the first council sitting?

49%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,337◷ First council sitting
Tshwane↑ 2%

Will the DA receive the largest share of votes in Tshwane?

55%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,241◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
Tshwane↑ 4%

Will Tshwane require a coalition to elect its first post-election mayor?

82%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 976◷ First council sitting
National↓ 1%

Will national local-election turnout exceed 50%?

44%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,396◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
National↑ 5%

Will the ANC receive less than 40% of local-election votes nationally?

61%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 1,449◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
COMMUNITY QUESTIONS

What should South Africa forecast next?

Submit a clear, measurable question for consideration. Every question is checked for neutrality, clarity, duplication and a verifiable resolution source before it can appear publicly.

CREATOR WORKFLOW

Create your own forecast

Draft your question, define its outcomes and tell us exactly how the result should be verified.

Submission does not guarantee publication.
HOW IT WORKS

Your view becomes
a measurable forecast.

UNMARKET is designed to make better thinking visible. The community probability is revealed after you make your call, helping you think independently first.

  1. 01Choose a questionExplore precise, verifiable questions about what may happen next.
  2. 02State your confidenceSelect an outcome and show how confident you are. No money is used.
  3. 03Track your accuracyUpdate your view as evidence changes and build a forecasting record.
PRIVATE FORECAST RECORD

Build a record,
not just an opinion.

Your individual choices remain private. As markets resolve, UNMARKET calculates your verified accuracy and lets you share only your performance summary.

—Accuracy score
Make your first forecast
0forecasting points
🔒

Private by default
Only you can see the choices below.

U↗

Your forecasting journey starts here.

Make your first forecast to begin building a private, verified record.

COMMUNITY

Who sees it coming?

The leaderboard recognises verified accuracy while keeping individual forecasts private.

✓

Points-based forecasting
Points have no cash value and cannot be bought, sold, withdrawn or transferred.

Founding forecastersUpdated today
RankForecasterAccuracyResolved
1NKNaledi K.82.4%18
2SMSizwe M.79.1%21
3APAyesha P.77.8%16
4KTKabelo T.74.6%24
5LNLerato N.72.9%19
BEYOND THE ELECTION

A forecasting culture for Africa.

The local elections are where UNMARKET begins, not where it ends. The same discipline can help communities think more clearly about business, sport, cities, culture and the everyday questions shaping our future.