LIVE 2026 LOCAL ELECTIONS

South Africa,
what happens next?

Turn your opinions into measurable forecasts. Use points, track your private record and prove how accurately you see what happens next.

Free to join · Points have no cash value · Built for collective intelligence
COMMUNITY FORECAST0 forecasters
50%

Turnout higher than 2021

YES 50%NO 50%
LIVEcommunity view
0forecasts made
FORECAST MARKETS

Forecast the election

Choose a question. Review the evidence. Make your call.

NationalLive

Will voter turnout be higher than in the 2021 local elections?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ 4 Nov, 07:00
eThekwiniLive

Will any party win an outright majority in eThekwini?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ 4 Nov, 07:00
JohannesburgLive

Will Johannesburg require a coalition government?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ 4 Nov, 07:00
Cape TownLive

Will voter turnout in Cape Town exceed 55%?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ 4 Nov, 07:00
TshwaneLive

Will the largest party receive more than 40% in Tshwane?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ 4 Nov, 07:00
Nelson Mandela BayLive

Will the first mayor elected after the vote come from the largest party?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ First council sitting
JohannesburgLive

Will Helen Zille be elected Johannesburg mayor at the first council sitting?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ First council sitting
JohannesburgLive

Will Frank Chikane be elected Johannesburg mayor at the first council sitting?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ First council sitting
JohannesburgLive

Will Tlaleng Mofokeng be elected Johannesburg mayor at the first council sitting?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ First council sitting
JohannesburgLive

Will the DA receive the largest share of votes in Johannesburg?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
JohannesburgLive

Will any party win an outright council majority in Johannesburg?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
eThekwiniLive

Will the ANC receive the largest share of votes in eThekwini?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
eThekwiniLive

Will the MK Party receive the largest share of votes in eThekwini?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
eThekwiniLive

Will Haniff Hoosen be elected eThekwini mayor at the first council sitting?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ First council sitting
eThekwiniLive

Will the eThekwini mayor come from a party other than the party with the most votes?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ First council sitting
TshwaneLive

Will Cilliers Brink be elected Tshwane mayor at the first council sitting?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ First council sitting
TshwaneLive

Will the DA receive the largest share of votes in Tshwane?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
TshwaneLive

Will Tshwane require a coalition to elect its first post-election mayor?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ First council sitting
NationalLive

Will national local-election turnout exceed 50%?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
NationalLive

Will the ANC receive less than 40% of local-election votes nationally?

50%
COMMUNITY SAYS YES
◎ 0◷ 4 Nov, 21:00
OFFICIAL SOURCE

IEC election results

Imported automatically from the IEC. Refreshes every two minutes while this page is open.

These are reported election figures. Counting progress does not confirm a final declaration. Forecast percentages above reflect community predictions.

Fetching IEC results…

View the full IEC dashboard ↗
COMMUNITY QUESTIONS

What should South Africa forecast next?

Create a clear, measurable question with a closing date and a verifiable resolution source. It will appear publicly as soon as you publish it.

CREATOR WORKFLOW

Create your own forecast

Draft your question, define its outcomes and tell us exactly how the result should be verified.

Questions that break the community rules may be removed.
HOW IT WORKS

Your view becomes
a measurable forecast.

UNMARKET is designed to make better thinking visible. The community probability is revealed after you make your call, helping you think independently first.

  1. 01Choose a questionExplore precise, verifiable questions about what may happen next.
  2. 02State your confidenceSelect an outcome and show how confident you are. No money is used.
  3. 03Track your accuracyUpdate your view as evidence changes and build a forecasting record.
PRIVATE FORECAST RECORD

Build a record,
not just an opinion.

Your individual choices remain private. As markets resolve, UNMARKET calculates your verified accuracy and lets you share only your performance summary.

—Accuracy score
Make your first forecast
0forecasting points
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Only you can see the choices below.

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Your forecasting journey starts here.

Make your first forecast to begin building a private, verified record.

COMMUNITY

Who sees it coming?

The leaderboard recognises verified accuracy while keeping individual forecasts private.

✓

Points-based forecasting
Points have no cash value and cannot be bought, sold, withdrawn or transferred.

Founding forecastersLive results
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The leaderboard will open after the first markets are resolved and forecasters choose to share their performance.

BEYOND THE ELECTION

A forecasting culture for Africa.

The local elections are where UNMARKET begins, not where it ends. The same discipline can help communities think more clearly about business, sport, cities, culture and the everyday questions shaping our future.